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Rising further confirmed



The bull market in the coming week is two years old. The January and February brought good index gains. Since 1950, there was not a bad trading year on Wall Street, where the first two months closed with gains. Previously, this was 23 times the case. The average increase was a rise of 20%. My prediction at the beginning of a rise of around 15% was thus very conservative. Also for the March, I expected the index further increases. The brief respite it offered buying opportunities that have been discussed on the hotline.

The U.S. dollar is now interesting again after the euro well above its purchasing power parity increase of $ 1.25.


A burden is, however, the high oil price dar. The unrest in the Middle East will not agree to any quick relief. Precious metals will benefit from this uncertainty. In both sectors, I stay still (a little frustrated) viewers.




The American labor market is improving. In February, 192 000 new jobs were created. In the private sector, there were actually 222,000 in the civil service since it came to layoffs. At the same time, the employment figures for December and January after by 58,000 revised upwards. The unemployment rate fell for the first time since May 2009 again under the 9% mark. The two-year weakness in the labor market (red shading) is overcome, despite the improvements since March 2010 (green shading) previously defined (yellow shading) was. In the coming months is likely to emerge here, a more continuous development. The monetary policy of the U.S. central bank pays out on the labor market.



past two years (green shading), productivity (Prod) in the United States has improved significantly. Unit labor cost (ULC) are of their depression End of 2009 (red arrow), as they were as pleased at the beginning of 2002 (red arrow) down 3%, now back on the zero level (blue arrow) increased. Both statistics support the positive earnings trend since mid-2009 with U.S. companies, which is on a new record high. An immediate inflation pressure is not currently visible. However, will limit price increases in commodities further profit improvements, if companies can not impose price increases. In plain language this means that in the next few quarters, inflationary pressures increase or decrease the profit increases.


More Assessments and recommendations on the hotline. The next blog will appear on Monday, 14 March.


Heiko Thieme

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linguistik

and suddenly we are no longer
what we were and what we wanted
are nothing more
only as side by side
alive and going and asking
and yet each set point with an end

it is easier to become
without want to talk andor contact
quite stand up to organize without
and like and love
and can and: no remorse
only echoing steps the streets along

furtive glances left right left
finger Kopp tram door knobs
bloody strip inside areas in hand
from reading too much
and and do take notice and opinion-forming
et cetera pp

said learn to speak without
a heartbeat without noise
head under water because: dull
and cold and warm and
a drop eye in the hair before
does not exist in two point zero

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there are rocks all over we can hide under.

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Utilitarismus.

act and we oppose it. Not only to ourselves when we do what we have not done or not done what we set out, nor others, if we a (drawers) thought not meet or do not act, as assumed, is that is traded. We do not work. We are not a machine that complains only when the juice goes out and otherwise nice runs and has no pain and no objections and no problems. We live and think and feel and do quite a lot and do not see, do not get it. Why we should understand that. Why should we restrain ourselves in what appears to us pleasant. Man is selfish in itself. By this we change anything. It is perhaps only a question of how to deal with the selfishness, or rather a question of how to deal with the other. If we know that we all share this characteristic, including, yes, we can adjust to and meet in the middle. Of course, we are selfish. We're the only thing we have and can access and change, and ours. We are just ourselves and no one else and that we are not always the next one (after all we love and the heart again and again), but what we love, we are not and can not control.

We therefore can act as we please. Or else, we act the way we appear properly in some form. A universal right and wrong it is a universal but not in that sense. Is it as wrong, someone to do mentally hurt when it is the only way to ward off damage from itself. Or it is right to raise his voice against brawling teenagers when you can expect to make everything worse. The answers are so simple at first: Yes, wrong and yes, correct. Lens.

But we are not objective. We are beings with experience and personalities that influence us in every step that we do. And even if we believe, how to act in given situations, we can not expect to make the episode too. We pinch, are afraid to be angry or sad or whatever. We are not heroes: nobody needs heroes. Heroes make the ordinary people and small and worthless are figures that we have invented in order to believe in something better . But: No one is better than another if each according to its values in its essence is. And also to share values since, where and how they develop, and are not good or bad. They are simple and it totally subjective.

We all know what you do not do and what is forbidden and what restrictions should be broken and that it certainly is not because they have full rights. We all know we need rules in life. But we also know all how to drive a car, without endangering others and how much can we drink before we go to the ground and how we should behave in the presence of people who impress us. We know that we are tired or distracted by too little sleep. We know that we have to eat and drink and company and we need also know that we are not the only ones who need it and still have an imbalance. Within us and around us. If tired, break rules, sometimes eat too little and sometimes drink too much and sometimes too little and sometimes too much and behave in the presence of strange people who impress us and oppose us and our plans and expectations. Estimates are based on schemes that we see and do see andor assume, then, that ever something similar or the same or the opposite was. At least an idea of what we expect to be there. And I think: we can not expect anything from us or others. We can only hope.